🧾 Gambeta AI Balance Sheet: Wins and Losses

Photo: Carine06 from UK / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 2.0. Resized and recompressed.

⚡ Short answer

Gambeta's AI has 1,884 settled picks, with a hit rate of 55.6% and a profit of 1.29% on the amount staked.

It is a small edge, and it still can't be told apart from chance. That is why the full record is public, losses included.

📊 The numbers, sport by sport

These are all the picks the AI has already settled, split by sport. It won in some and lost in others.

Sport	Picks	Hit rate	Profit (yield)	Sample
⚽ Soccer	1,172	56.7% ±3	−0.7%	large
🏀 Basketball (NBA and EuroLeague)	257	51.4% ±6	−0.7%	large
⚾ Baseball (MLB)	148	56.1% ±8	+17.5%	acceptable
🎾 Tennis	125	56.8% ±9	+1.4%	acceptable
🏒 Hockey (NHL)	99	60.6% ±10	+23.3%	acceptable
🏈 NFL	63	41.3% ±12	−26.3%	acceptable
Total	1,864	55.6% ±2	+1.5%	large

Picks settled from march 21, 2026 to november 14, 2026. “Profit (yield)” = net profit over the total staked, following the suggested stake on each pick. “±” is the margin of error of the hit rate (95%). Voided and pending picks are excluded. Source: public CSV of the record.

Soccer is 63% of the picks and is close to break-even (−0.7%). Baseball (+17.5%) and hockey (+23.3%) are doing best, but with few picks: take them with care. The NFL is where it does worst (−26.3% over 63 picks).

If you want the detail on each question, it is in the series posts: which sport the AI predicts best, which league and which market.

🧪 Does this prove the AI makes money?

Not yet. If you staked the same amount on every pick, the result would be +0.9%, with a margin of error of about ±4.3 points. Since the margin is larger than the edge, the numbers do not let us rule out luck.

To confirm an edge of that size you need about 34,253 picks. Today there are fewer. The calculation, step by step, is in how many bets you need to know if you are winning.

What can be said: the result is neither clearly positive nor clearly negative, and the whole record can be checked.

🔻 Where it does badly (and what was done)

The NFL is the weak spot: 41.3% hit rate and −26.3% profit over 63 picks. Almost all are player props, which are hard to predict. On November 14 that model was adjusted: the probability of NFL props now sits closer to the market price.

Soccer, with the largest sample, is just below break-even (−0.7%). It isn't hidden either: it is in the table above.

🔎 How to check it yourself

Open the verified record and look at each pick with its odds, its stake and its result.
Download the CSV (there are more details in open data on the AI's picks, under a CC BY 4.0 license).
Count the settled and the won picks, and work out the hit rate yourself. Look at the misses too: they have to be there.
To understand how each prediction is calculated, read how Gambeta's model works.

A mention in the press opens the door; what convinces is the data. That is why what BeSoccer said about Gambeta also ends up in this same record. And every day the Betting Journal tells what happened yesterday, good or bad.

If it is your first time, start with the guide AI for sports betting: what it is and how to use it and with how to use the AI's predictions.

❓ Frequently asked questions

Does Gambeta's AI make money?

The balance is slightly positive, but the edge is smaller than the margin of error: with the number of picks there are today, we still can't say it makes money in the long run. More sample is needed, and that is why the whole record is published.

In which sport does Gambeta's AI do worst?

In the NFL, where almost everything is player props and the sample is small. Soccer, the sport with the most picks, is close to break-even and slightly below.

Where can I check these numbers?

In the verified record and in the public CSV: every pick has its odds, its stake and its result, wins and misses alike. With that data you can recalculate the hit rate and the profit yourself.

Does Gambeta guarantee profits?

No. No prediction guarantees anything: it is a probability estimate, and betting carries the risk of losing money. Adults 18 and over only.

Betting involves the risk of losing money. Adults 18 and over only. Gamble responsibly.

Overall figures up to date; table with data up to november 14, 2026. Post published on november 15, 2026