Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Result (Oct 4)

How the match ended

Netherlands and Serbia met on October 4, 2026 in ⚽ Other leagues and the match ended 2 – 1.

The AI had called "Under 1.5 goals (1st half)" at odds 1.79, but this time the prediction didn't land. The play closed at -50 units. Every pick —hits and misses— stays in gambeta.ai's public record; what defines the AI is long-term ROI, not a single result.

How did the AI reach this prediction?

Netherlands · in UEFA Nations League · 9 games1.67 · 1.22scored · conceded

Serbia · in UEFA Nations League · 10 games0.80 · 1.30scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match2.50

Netherlands averages 1.3 first-half goals (both teams combined) over its last 8 games, and 5 of those first halves went under 1.5. Serbia averages 0.7 first-half goals (both teams combined) over its last 10 games, and 10 of those first halves went under 1.5.

Netherlands's last 8 games · at half-time · UEFA Nations League only

5 of 8 under 1.5

1.5

00-0

vs Germany · 0-0 · 10/14

22-0

vs Hungary · 2-0 · 11/16

11-0

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina · 1-0 · 11/19

21-1

vs Spain · 1-1 · 03/20

10-1

vs Spain · 0-1 · 03/23

10-1

vs Germany · 0-1 · 09/24

11-0

vs Serbia · 1-0 · 09/27

20-2

vs Greece · 0-2 · 10/01

Serbia's last 10 games · at half-time · UEFA Nations League only

10 of 10 under 1.5

1.5

10-1

vs Denmark · 0-1 · 09/08

11-0

vs Switzerland · 1-0 · 10/12

10-1

vs Spain · 0-1 · 10/15

00-0

vs Switzerland · 0-0 · 11/15

00-0

vs Denmark · 0-0 · 11/18

10-1

vs Austria · 0-1 · 03/20

00-0

vs Austria · 0-0 · 03/23

11-0

vs Greece · 1-0 · 09/24

10-1

vs Netherlands · 0-1 · 09/27

10-1

vs Germany · 0-1 · 10/01

AI Pick for Netherlands vs Serbia – UEFA Nations League

The AI goes with Under 1.5 goals (1st half) because it projects 1.12 goals in the first 45 minutes (Netherlands 0.67, Serbia 0.46), 0.38 below the 1.5 line.

The model scales the match’s 2.50 expected goals down to 1.12 for the first half, which always carries fewer goals than the second.

In UEFA Nations League, Netherlands average 1.67 goals for and 1.22 against (9 matches); Serbia, 0.80 and 1.30 (10).

It settles on the half-time score, first-half stoppage time included; anything after that does not count.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Netherlands· with even performances

DWDDW

Serbia· in a rough patch

LLLWL

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.65 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.