Why this pick
The pick is S. Monahan Under 1.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, Sean Monahan went over the line of 1.5 shots on goal in 4 of 12, averaging 1.5 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 8 of 12 (67%).
The model blends that real frequency with the bookmakers' consensus and lands at 67%, against the 51% implied by the 1.95 price. That gap is the edge.
Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 4, with 3 blanks in those 12.
Sean Monahan's last 12 games
vs Montréal Canadiens · 1-2 · 03/26
vs San Jose Sharks · 2-3 · 03/28
vs Boston Bruins · 3-4 · 03/29
vs Carolina Hurricanes · 2-5 · 03/31
vs Carolina Hurricanes · 1-5 · 04/02
vs Winnipeg Jets · 1-2 · 04/04
vs Detroit Red Wings · 4-3 · 04/07
vs Buffalo Sabres · 0-5 · 04/09
vs Montréal Canadiens · 5-2 · 04/11
vs Boston Bruins · 2-3 · 04/12
vs Washington Capitals · 1-2 · 04/14
vs Buffalo Sabres · 6-3 · 10/01Recent winning player props
How did the AI reach this prediction?
The AI flagged this pick as Medium-High — decent conviction, with visible value against the odds.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.79 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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