🔮 Prediction for Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche – NHL (October 25)

Why this pick

The pick is R. Josi Under 2.5 shots. Over his last 11 games, Roman Josi went over the line of 2.5 shots on goal in 2 of 11, averaging 2.27 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 9 of 11 (82%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 8, with 1 blanks in those 11.

Roman Josi's last 11 games

9 of 11 under 2.5

2.5

2vs San Jose Sharks · 2-3 · 04/14

3vs Minnesota Wild · 1-3 · 10/02

0vs Dallas Stars · 2-1 · 10/04

1vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 4-5 · 10/06

2vs Montréal Canadiens · 5-2 · 10/08

2vs Ottawa Senators · 2-3 · 10/10

2vs Vegas Golden Knights · 2-5 · 10/14

8vs San Jose Sharks · 2-3 · 10/16

1vs St. Louis Blues · 5-2 · 10/18

2vs Boston Bruins · 0-6 · 10/22

2vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 2-3 · 10/24

Recent winning player props

• Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks ✓ Won
• Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets ✓ Won
• St. Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights ✓ Won

AI Pick for Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche – NHL

The play is Roman Josi Under 2.5 shots on goal at 1.65.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

Over his last 11 games he averages 2.27 shots on goal, 0.23 below the line: the typical Roman Josi number is already on the pick's side.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2.4 shots on goal, higher than the plain average because his most recent games came in above it; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.1 from the line.

Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 9 of his last 11 games.

At 1.65, break-even means hitting about 6.7 out of every 11; the sample clears that comfortably, and that gap is the pick's value.

His last 4 games (2, 2, 1, 8, newest first) leave 3 of 4 on the pick's side: no sharp change from the full sample.

In the sample, his standard deviation is 2.05 shots on goal: a boom-or-bust player, capable of games far above and far below his average, and the line sits 0.1 deviations from his average.

He plays at home today: in that setting, within the sample, he averages 2.67 over 6 games, a bit above his norm.

The Colorado Avalanche defense: 27.6 shots on goal allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 27.58 (rank 16 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

A shots Under wants a tight game with limited minutes for him; its risk is the power play, where shots pile up fast.

The AI doesn't bet on hunches: it takes the real Roman Josi series, checks it against what the market as a whole expects for this line, and only when the best available price sits above that estimate does it publish the pick.

If Roman Josi ends up not playing, the bet is voided: the risk of a late scratch isn't on the bettor.

What can go wrong: an open game with plenty of power plays, where the numbers pile up fast.

On price: the edge the AI flags is calculated at 1.65; below that it shrinks, above it grows.