Sassuolo vs Lazio Prediction & Pick (Oct 27)

How did the AI reach this prediction?

Sassuolo · in Serie A · 10 games1.40 · 2.00scored · conceded

Lazio · in Serie A · 10 games1.80 · 0.80scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match2.74

Sassuolo won 2, drew 2 and lost 6 of its last 10 games, with 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Lazio won 8, drew 1 and lost 1 of its last 10 games, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Sassuolo's last 10 games · Serie A only

lost 6 of 10

22-3

vs Lecce · 2-3 · 05/17

00-1

vs Parma · 0-1 · 05/24

11-2

vs Atalanta · 1-2 · 08/23

22-1

vs Torino · 2-1 · 08/29

22-2

vs Bologna · 2-2 · 09/06

33-2

vs Juventus · 3-2 · 09/13

11-2

vs Monza · 1-2 · 09/18

11-1

vs AC Milan · 1-1 · 10/11

22-4

vs Frosinone · 2-4 · 10/16

00-2

vs Como · 0-2 · 10/24

Lazio's last 10 games · Serie A only

won 8 of 10

00-2

vs AS Roma · 0-2 · 05/17

22-1

vs Pisa · 2-1 · 05/23

11-0

vs Bologna · 1-0 · 08/24

11-0

vs Genoa · 1-0 · 08/30

22-1

vs Udinese · 2-1 · 09/07

22-2

vs AC Milan · 2-2 · 09/12

22-0

vs Venezia · 2-0 · 09/19

33-1

vs Monza · 3-1 · 10/11

33-0

vs Juventus · 3-0 · 10/18

22-1

vs Parma · 2-1 · 10/24

AI Pick for Sassuolo vs Lazio – Serie A

The AI goes with Lazio win (draw no bet): it sees a 66% chance that Lazio win once the draw is taken out, and the 1.70 price only needs 59%.

The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 60%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.

The goals model projects 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.74 for Lazio.

If the match ends in a draw, the bet is void and the stake comes back; the model puts that draw at 24%.

In Serie A, Sassuolo average 1.40 goals for and 2.00 against (10 matches); Lazio, 1.80 and 0.80 (10).

It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.

And a tip: the 1.70 price is today’s; if it has moved when you bet, the edge the AI sees changes.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Sassuolo· inconsistent, with more losses than wins

LLDLW

Lazio· in great form

WWWWD

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

325

SassuoloLazioLA Lazio

In the last 10 meetings: 3 wins for Sassuolo, 2 draws and 5 for Lazio. Playing at home, Sassuolo have a 3-0-2 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo2026-03-09
Sassuolo 1-0 Lazio2025-09-14
Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo2024-05-26
Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio2023-10-21

Absences and injuries

Sassuolo: D. Boloca (Muscle Injury), J. Idzes (Muscle Injury), I. Kone (Broken Leg), F. Leysen (Knee Injury), Y. Paz (Knee Injury).
Lazio: A. Furlanetto (Knee Injury), A. Gudmundsson (Shoulder Injury), A. Marusic (Muscle Injury), N. Rovella (Calf Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

What does "Lazio win (draw no bet)" mean?

A bet that Lazio win the match. If it's a draw or a loss, the pick loses.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.56 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.