🔮 Prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Florida Panthers – NHL (October 4)

Why this pick

The pick is A. Killorn Over 1.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, Alex Killorn went over the line of 1.5 shots on goal in 9 of 12, averaging 2.17 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 9 of 12 (75%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 4, with 2 blanks in those 12.

Alex Killorn's last 12 games

9 of 12 over 1.5

1.5

4vs Edmonton Oilers · 6-4 · 04/23

3vs Edmonton Oilers · 7-4 · 04/25

2vs Edmonton Oilers · 4-3 · 04/27

3vs Edmonton Oilers · 1-4 · 04/29

1vs Edmonton Oilers · 5-2 · 05/01

0vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1-3 · 05/05

3vs Vegas Golden Knights · 3-1 · 05/07

3vs Vegas Golden Knights · 2-6 · 05/09

2vs Vegas Golden Knights · 4-3 · 05/11

3vs Vegas Golden Knights · 2-3 · 05/13

0vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1-5 · 05/15

2vs Vegas Golden Knights · 4-3 · 10/03

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AI Pick for Anaheim Ducks vs Florida Panthers – NHL

For this matchup the AI picked a prop: Alex Killorn, Over 1.5 shots on goal, at 2.00.

The final score changes nothing; all that counts is what Alex Killorn does.

Over his last 12 games he averages 2.17 shots on goal, 0.67 above the line: the typical Alex Killorn number is already on the pick's side.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2 shots on goal, lower than the plain average because his most recent games came in below it; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.5 from the line.

Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 9 of his last 12 games.

For odds of 2.00 to pay off you need to hit about 6 out of every 12: the Alex Killorn record sits comfortably above that.

In his last 4 games he posted 2, 0, 3, 2 (most recent first): 3 of 4 on the pick's side, in line with the 9 of 12 across the whole sample.

How stable is he? Game to game he strays about 1.27 from his average, and the line sits 0.5 of those deviations away.

Today's setting counts too: at home, in the sample, he's at 1.83 per game over 6 games.

Shots on goal depend on ice time and power-play usage: more minutes, more shots.

A game where his team trails usually pushes the volume up.

Two sources sit behind the pick: what Alex Killorn actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.

When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.

A rules detail: if Alex Killorn doesn't play, the bet is voided.