🔮 San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Pick (October 4, 2026)

Why this pick

The pick is B. Purdy Over 17.5 rushing yds. Over his last 9 games, Brock Purdy went over the line of 17.5 rushing yds in 7 of 9, averaging 30.6 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 7 of 9 (78%).

The model blends that real frequency with the bookmakers' consensus and lands at 65%, against the 52% implied by the 1.93 price. That gap is the edge.

Across the sample his range runs from 4 to 44.

Brock Purdy's last 9 games

7 of 9 over 17.5

17.5

4vs Cleveland Browns · 26-8 · 11/30

44vs Tennessee Titans · 37-24 · 12/14

11vs Indianapolis Colts · 48-27 · 12/23

21vs Seattle Seahawks · 3-13 · 01/04

24vs Philadelphia Eagles · 23-19 · 01/11

37vs Seattle Seahawks · 6-41 · 01/18

29vs Los Angeles Rams · 27-7 · 09/11

30vs Miami Dolphins · 35-13 · 09/20

34vs Arizona Cardinals · 36-30 · 09/27

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