🔮 Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Pick (October 4, 2026)

Why this pick

The pick is M. Washington Under 4.5 receptions. Over his last 9 games, Malik Washington went over the line of 4.5 receptions in 1 of 9, averaging 3.3 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 8 of 9 (89%).

The model blends that real frequency with the bookmakers' consensus and lands at 68%, against the 56% implied by the 1.8 price. That gap is the edge.

Across the sample his range runs from 1 to 5.

Malik Washington's last 9 games

8 of 9 under 4.5

4.5

3vs Washington Commanders · 16-13 · 11/16

4vs New Orleans Saints · 21-17 · 11/30

3vs New York Jets · 34-10 · 12/07

1vs Pittsburgh Steelers · 15-28 · 12/16

1vs Cincinnati Bengals · 21-45 · 12/21

1vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 20-17 · 12/28

3vs New England Patriots · 10-38 · 01/04

3vs Las Vegas Raiders · 13-27 · 09/13

5vs Kansas City Chiefs · 10-24 · 09/27

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