🔮 Prediction for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers – NHL (October 13)

Why this pick

The pick is S. Bennett Under 2.5 shots. Over his last 9 games, Sam Bennett went over the line of 2.5 shots on goal in 4 of 9, averaging 2.22 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 5 of 9 (56%).

Across the sample his range runs from 1 to 4.

Sam Bennett's last 9 games

5 of 9 under 2.5

2.5

3vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 2-5 · 04/05

4vs Montréal Canadiens · 3-4 · 04/07

3vs Ottawa Senators · 1-5 · 04/09

1vs Carolina Hurricanes · 1-0 · 09/29

1vs San Jose Sharks · 3-4 · 10/02

4vs Anaheim Ducks · 2-3 · 10/05

1vs Los Angeles Kings · 2-1 · 10/07

2vs Minnesota Wild · 1-4 · 10/10

1vs Buffalo Sabres · 3-5 · 10/12

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AI Pick for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers – NHL

The pick is Sam Bennett: Under 2.5 shots on goal at 1.80.

It's a bet on a player, not on the game: it doesn't matter who wins as long as Sam Bennett finishes below that number.

Sam Bennett has been averaging 2.22 shots on goal over 9 games, and the book set the line at 2.5: 0.28 above that average.

The model doesn't settle for the bare average: it gives recent games more weight and arrives at a projection of 1.8, lower than the plain average because his most recent games came in below it, 0.7 below the line.

Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 5 of his last 9 games.

At 1.80, break-even means hitting about 5 out of every 9, and the sample is only just above it: the price is fair, not a gift, and the model fills in the rest with the bookmakers' consensus.

The latest games don't change the picture: 1, 2, 1, 4 in the last 4, 3 of 4 on the pick's side, a similar rate to the full sample.

In the sample, his standard deviation is 1.3 shots on goal: a normal spread, and the line sits 0.2 deviations from his average.

He plays on the road today: in that setting, within the sample, he averages 2.25 over 8 games.

A shots Under wants a tight game with limited minutes for him; its risk is the power play, where shots pile up fast.

The model doesn't settle for a single number: it crosses the real Sam Bennett frequency against this line with the bookmakers' consensus, and only publishes the pick when the available odds pay more than that count says.

A rules detail: if Sam Bennett doesn't play, the bet is voided.

The concrete risk: an end-to-end game with man advantages, where Sam Bennett piles up minutes and chances.

One last practical note: 1.80 is the reference price; if you find it lower, the value fades, and if it's higher, the pick improves.