Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction & Pick (Oct 14)

How did the AI reach this prediction?

The AI flagged this pick as Medium, the lowest step on its scale: it sees value in the odds, but with less backing than its stronger picks. If you play it, keep the stake small.

Fluminense's last 6 games · Copa Libertadores only

at least one side failed to score in 2 of 6

32-1

vs Bolívar · 2-1 · 05/19

43-1

vs Deportivo La Guaira · 3-1 · 05/28

00-0

vs Independ. Rivadavia · 0-0 · 08/11

21-1

vs Independ. Rivadavia · 1-1 · 08/18

22-0

vs Platense · 2-0 · 09/08

31-2

vs Platense · 1-2 · 09/15

Palmeiras's last 6 games · Copa Libertadores only

at least one side failed to score in 3 of 6

10-1

vs Cerro Porteno · 0-1 · 05/21

54-1

vs Junior · 4-1 · 05/28

21-1

vs Cerro Porteno · 1-1 · 08/12

11-0

vs Cerro Porteno · 1-0 · 08/19

11-0

vs LDU de Quito · 1-0 · 09/09

52-3

vs LDU de Quito · 2-3 · 09/16

Latest games across all competitions

For reference only: the AI predicts from the Copa Libertadores series, not from this mix of tournaments.

Fluminense's last 10 games · all competitions

at least one side failed to score in 4 of 10

21-1

vs Independ. Rivadavia · 1-1 · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 08/18

32-1

vs Remo · 2-1 · Serie A · 08/22

63-3

vs Atletico Paranaense · 3-3 · Serie A · 08/30

11-0

vs Vasco DA Gama · 1-0 · Serie A · 09/06

22-0

vs Platense · 2-0 · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 09/08

41-3

vs Atletico · 1-3 · Serie A · 09/12

31-2

vs Platense · 1-2 · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 09/15

43-1

vs Corinthians · 3-1 · Serie A · 09/20

44-0

vs Coritiba · 4-0 · Serie A · 10/09

10-1

vs Flamengo · 0-1 · Serie A · 10/11

Palmeiras's last 10 games · all competitions

at least one side failed to score in 7 of 10

33-0

vs Santos · 3-0 · Copa Do Brasil · 08/27

21-1

vs Mirassol · 1-1 · Serie A · 08/30

00-0

vs Santos · 0-0 · Copa Do Brasil · 09/03

00-0

vs Botafogo · 0-0 · Serie A · 09/06

11-0

vs LDU de Quito · 1-0 · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 09/09

22-0

vs Sao Paulo · 2-0 · Serie A · 09/12

52-3

vs LDU de Quito · 2-3 · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 09/16

00-0

vs Gremio · 0-0 · Serie A · 09/20

11-0

vs Bahia · 1-0 · Serie A · 10/09

54-1

vs Corinthians · 4-1 · Serie A · 10/11

Palmeiras — Fluminense vs Palmeiras (🌎 Libertadores) — Palmeiras · NullReason / CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Fluminense· inconsistent, with more losses than wins

LWWLL

Palmeiras· in good form

WWDLW

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

433

FluminensePalmeirasPA

In the last 10 meetings: 4 wins for Fluminense, 3 draws and 3 for Palmeiras. Playing at home, Fluminense have a 3-1-1 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras2026-08-15
Palmeiras 2-1 Fluminense2026-02-26
Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense2025-11-23
Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras2025-07-23

Squad value

Fluminense~121 M €

Palmeiras~219 M €

According to Transfermarkt, the Fluminense squad is worth ~121 M € and Palmeiras ~219 M €. Palmeiras start with a clear gap in quality.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.49 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 30 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.