Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction & Pick (Oct 13)

Another pick for this match: Over 3.5 cards

The pick is Over 3.5 cards, and the value is clear: this tie is played at a physical pace that drives bookings, and the model projects ~4.34 cards, 0.84 above the line of 3.5.

The averages back it: in Championship, Bristol City saw 1.44 yellows per game across 9 matches and Blackburn Rovers 2.67 in 9.

The appointed referee is David Webb, an added factor in a market as sensitive to officiating as cards.

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How did the AI reach this prediction?

The AI flagged this pick as Medium, the lowest step on its scale: it sees value in the odds, but with less backing than its stronger picks. If you play it, keep the stake small.

Bristol City's last 10 games · Championship only

at least one side failed to score in 4 of 10

22-0

vs Stoke City · 2-0 · 05/02

20-2

vs Millwall · 0-2 · 08/15

42-2

vs Birmingham · 2-2 · 08/22

32-1

vs Portsmouth · 2-1 · 08/29

43-1

vs Preston · 3-1 · 09/01

32-1

vs Burnley · 2-1 · 09/05

51-4

vs Southampton · 1-4 · 09/12

10-1

vs Lincoln · 0-1 · 09/15

11-0

vs Watford · 1-0 · 09/18

21-1

vs Charlton · 1-1 · 10/10

Blackburn Rovers's last 10 games · Championship only

at least one side failed to score in 2 of 10

10-1

vs Leicester · 0-1 · 05/02

42-2

vs Wolves · 2-2 · 08/14

32-1

vs Middlesbrough · 2-1 · 08/22

31-2

vs QPR · 1-2 · 08/29

00-0

vs Lincoln · 0-0 · 09/01

31-2

vs Preston · 1-2 · 09/05

31-2

vs Sheffield Utd · 1-2 · 09/08

43-1

vs Millwall · 3-1 · 09/12

42-2

vs Portsmouth · 2-2 · 09/19

32-1

vs Cardiff · 2-1 · 10/10

Latest games across all competitions

For reference only: the AI predicts from the Championship series, not from this mix of tournaments.

Bristol City's last 10 games · all competitions

at least one side failed to score in 4 of 10

10-1

vs Walsall · 0-1 · League Cup · 08/06

20-2

vs Millwall · 0-2 · Championship · 08/15

42-2

vs Birmingham · 2-2 · Championship · 08/22

32-1

vs Portsmouth · 2-1 · Championship · 08/29

43-1

vs Preston · 3-1 · Championship · 09/01

32-1

vs Burnley · 2-1 · Championship · 09/05

51-4

vs Southampton · 1-4 · Championship · 09/12

10-1

vs Lincoln · 0-1 · Championship · 09/15

11-0

vs Watford · 1-0 · Championship · 09/18

21-1

vs Charlton · 1-1 · Championship · 10/10

Blackburn Rovers's last 10 games · all competitions

at least one side failed to score in 1 of 10

42-2

vs Wolves · 2-2 · Championship · 08/14

32-1

vs Middlesbrough · 2-1 · Championship · 08/22

31-2

vs Sheffield Utd · 1-2 · League Cup · 08/25

31-2

vs QPR · 1-2 · Championship · 08/29

00-0

vs Lincoln · 0-0 · Championship · 09/01

31-2

vs Preston · 1-2 · Championship · 09/05

31-2

vs Sheffield Utd · 1-2 · Championship · 09/08

43-1

vs Millwall · 3-1 · Championship · 09/12

42-2

vs Portsmouth · 2-2 · Championship · 09/19

32-1

vs Cardiff · 2-1 · Championship · 10/10

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Bristol City· with even performances

DWLLW

Blackburn Rovers· with even performances

WDWLL

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

523

Bristol CityBlackburn RoversBR

In the last 10 meetings: 5 wins for Bristol City, 2 draws and 3 for Blackburn Rovers. Playing at home, Bristol City have a 2-2-1 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Blackburn 1-2 Bristol City2026-02-24
Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn2025-11-04
Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn2025-01-25
Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City2024-09-14

Absences and injuries

Bristol City: R. Dickie (Knee Injury), N. Eile (Illness), L. Tolaj (Knock).
Blackburn Rovers: A. Forshaw (Hip Injury), M. Jorgensen (Hamstring Injury), M. Litherland (Muscle Injury), L. Miller (Achilles Tendon Injury), Y. Ohashi (Hamstring Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

Squad value

Bristol City~76 M €

Blackburn Rovers~41 M €

According to Transfermarkt, the Bristol City squad is worth ~76 M € and Blackburn Rovers ~41 M €. Bristol City start with a clear gap in quality.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.99 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 30 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.