Yesterday we closed with 8 hits and 6 misses, and it was a good day: that's two positive days in a row. Mind you, the month is still in the red, so we celebrate with a cool head. Today there are eight picks pending: four from Serie A and four from the NBA.
🟢 Yesterday's scorecard, Tuesday, October 27
Streak: 2 days in a row in the green.
🧾 Pick by pick
| Match | Pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 vs | Handicap +8.5 | 1.91 | ❌ Lost 125-114 |
 vs | J. Jaquez Jr: Over 15.5 points | 1.86 | ❌ Lost 8 puntos (110-102) |
| vs | D. Booker: Over 22.5 points | 1.91 | ❌ Lost 3 puntos (125-114) |
| vs | Under 239.5 points | 1.87 | ✅ Won 212 puntos (110-102) |
 vs | Over 3.5 runs (first 5 innings) | 1.71 | ✅ Won 0-10 en 5 entradas (final 1-10) |
| vs | to win | 2.00 | ✅ Won 1-10 |
 vs | A. Thompson: Over 16.5 points | 1.90 | ❌ Lost 15 puntos (120-110) |
 vs | E. Cowan: Over 0.5 points | 2.00 | ✅ Won 1 puntos (5-2) |
 vs | C. McDavid: Over 1.5 points | 1.72 | ❌ Lost 1 puntos (3-4) |
 vs | to win (draw no bet) | 1.70 | ✅ Won 2-6 |
 vs | to win | 1.82 | ✅ Won 1-3 |
 vs | D. Mateychuk: Over 1.5 shots | 2.20 | ❌ Lost 1 tiros (3-4) |
 vs | J. Randle: Under 5.5 assists | 1.83 | ✅ Won 4 asistencias (125-124) |
| vs | Handicap +12.5 | 1.85 | ✅ Won 125-124 |
📊 Jaime Jaquez Jr (Milwaukee Bucks): 8 points in 25 minutes (4 of 13 from the field, 0 of 4 from three). Our line was over 15.5.
📊 Devin Booker (Phoenix Suns): 3 points in 34 minutes (1 of 7 from the field, 0 of 2 from three). Our line was over 22.5.
📊 Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): 15 points in 28 minutes (6 of 8 from the field). Our line was over 16.5.
❌ Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
Phoenix +8.5 and it lost 125-114: the margin was 11, so we fell three points short of the cushion. A reasonable pick that just didn't land.
❌ Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
Jaime Jaquez Jr. finished with 8 points against a line of 15.5, going 4 of 13 from the field and 0 of 4 from three. He played 25 minutes against an average of 31, and it was a truly rough night.
❌ Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
Booker scored 3 points on 1 of 7 from the field and 0 of 2 from three, playing 34 minutes. A terrible night for the player against a line of 22.5: the pick was sound and there was nothing to be done.
✅ Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
Bucks-Pacers ended 110-102, 212 points against a line of 239.5. An under that won with plenty of room to spare.
✅ Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers
With 10 runs from Milwaukee in the first five innings, the 3.5 line looked tiny. Pick won without sweating.
✅ Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee won 10-1 and took the game comfortably. A High-confidence pick that delivered.
❌ Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
Amen Thompson scored 15 points against a line of 16.5, going 6 of 8 from the field. He played 28 minutes against an average of 42 and we don't know why; the pick lost by a hair.
✅ Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Cowan got his point, and that was enough to clear the 0.5 line. Hardly epic, but a win.
❌ Edmonton Oilers vs Detroit Red Wings
McDavid finished with 1 point against a line of 1.5 and Edmonton lost 3-4. We missed by half a point, and that half unit is the one that hurts.
✅ Sassuolo vs Lazio
Lazio won 6-2 at Sassuolo. With draw no bet, the pick was covered and it settled without drama.
✅ Torino vs Como
Como won 3-1 away from home. Winning pick.
❌ Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mateychuk finished with 1 shot against a line of 1.5 and the game ended 3-4. Pick lost by one shot.
✅ Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Randle dished 4 assists against a line of 5.5 on the under. A win, and the game was decided 125-124.
✅ Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn +12.5 and it lost 125-124 in a nail-biter. The handicap was covered with an enormous margin.
🎯 Today's picks, Wednesday, October 28
| Time (ART) | Match | Pick | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 |  vs | Handicap +1.5 | 1.53 | Medium-High |
| 14:30 |  vs | Double chance 1X | 1.63 | Medium-High |
| 16:45 |  vs | to win | 1.83 | Medium-High |
| 16:45 |  vs | to win | 1.70 | Medium-High |
| 20:00 | vs | J. Brown: Over 1.5 threes | 1.91 | Medium-High |
| 20:00 | vs | Under 242 points | 1.91 | Medium-High |
| 20:00 |  vs | Over 215.5 points | 1.89 | Medium-High |
| 20:00 |  vs | Under 239.5 points | 1.90 | Medium-High |
⭐ The pick I like best today
My star pick today is Napoli to win away at Monza, in Serie A, at odds of 1.83 with Medium-High confidence. I'd rather go with a straight winner market than build something complicated, and the odds give a reasonable return without going off the deep end. Of today's football picks, it's the best price among those the model sees with similar backing. As always, it's an opinion with risk: it can go wrong and nothing is a sure thing.
MonzaVSNapoliTwo green days in a row aren't a trend, they're a good moment. Play with your head and don't bet what you can't afford to lose.
Every result comes from the verified track record: we publish each pick before the match and settle it with public data, win or lose. See how it works · responsible gambling.
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