AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction & Pick (Oct 28)

How did the AI reach this prediction?

AC Milan · in Serie A · 10 games1.90 · 1.30scored · conceded

Bologna · in Serie A · 10 games1.20 · 1.30scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match2.65

AC Milan won 5, drew 3 and lost 2 of its last 10 games, with 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Bologna won 3, drew 3 and lost 4 of its last 10 games, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

AC Milan's last 10 games · Serie A only

at +1.5, the pick would have landed in 8 of 10

22-3

vs Atalanta · 2-3 · 05/10

22-1

vs Genoa · 2-1 · 05/17

11-2

vs Cagliari · 1-2 · 05/24

22-1

vs Torino · 2-1 · 08/23

22-0

vs Venezia · 2-0 · 08/28

11-1

vs Juventus · 1-1 · 09/06

22-2

vs Lazio · 2-2 · 09/12

33-0

vs Lecce · 3-0 · 09/20

11-1

vs Sassuolo · 1-1 · 10/11

33-2

vs Atalanta · 3-2 · 10/18

Bologna's last 10 games · Serie A only

at +1.5, the pick would have landed in 9 of 10

11-0

vs Atalanta · 1-0 · 05/17

33-3

vs Inter · 3-3 · 05/23

00-1

vs Lazio · 0-1 · 08/24

00-1

vs Atalanta · 0-1 · 08/31

22-2

vs Sassuolo · 2-2 · 09/06

00-1

vs Napoli · 0-1 · 09/13

11-1

vs Torino · 1-1 · 09/19

22-1

vs Lecce · 2-1 · 10/11

11-3

vs Inter · 1-3 · 10/17

22-0

vs Cagliari · 2-0 · 10/24

AI Pick for AC Milan vs Bologna – Serie A

The AI goes with Bologna +1.5: it sees a 71% chance that Bologna cover the +1.5 line, and the 1.53 price only needs 65%.

The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 67%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.

The goals model projects 1.55 goals for AC Milan and 1.09 for Bologna.

Bologna cover the +1.5 line as long as they do not lose by 2 or more goals; a win or a draw counts too.

In Serie A, AC Milan average 1.90 goals for and 1.30 against (10 matches); Bologna, 1.20 and 1.30 (10).

It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.

And a tip: the 1.53 price is today’s; if it has moved when you bet, the edge the AI sees changes.

AC Milan — AC Milan vs Bologna (🇮🇹 Serie A) — AC Milan · Original: Saggittarius A / Derivative work: Danyele / CC BY 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

AC Milan· in good form

LWWDW

Bologna· with even performances

WLWDL

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

532

AC MilanBolognaBO Bologna

In the last 10 meetings: 5 wins for AC Milan, 3 draws and 2 for Bologna. Playing at home, AC Milan have a 3-2-1 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Bologna 0-3 AC Milan2026-02-03
AC Milan 1-0 Bologna2025-09-14
AC Milan 0-1 Bologna2025-05-14
AC Milan 3-1 Bologna2025-05-09

What is a handicap?

A handicap gives a team a head start or a deficit before the game begins. With Bologna +1.5, the pick wins if Bologna win the game or lose by 1 or less.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.41 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.