🔮 Prediction for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans – NBA (October 23)

Why this pick

The pick is K. George Under 3.5 rebounds. Over his last 20 games, Keyonte George went over the line of 3.5 rebounds in 8 of 20, averaging 2.6 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 12 of 20 (60%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 7, with 2 blanks in those 20.

Keyonte George's last 20 games

16 of 20 under 3.5

3.5

3vs Dallas Mavericks · 01/09

2vs Charlotte Hornets · 01/11

5vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 01/13

3vs Chicago Bulls · 01/15

3vs Dallas Mavericks · 01/16

1vs Dallas Mavericks · 01/17

3vs San Antonio Spurs · 01/19

0vs Minnesota Timberwolves · 01/21

4vs San Antonio Spurs · 01/23

2vs Miami Heat · 01/25

7vs Golden State Warriors · 01/29

3vs Brooklyn Nets · 01/31

1vs Orlando Magic · 02/08

2vs New Orleans Pelicans · 03/01

2vs Denver Nuggets · 03/03

4vs Philadelphia 76ers · 03/05

2vs Milwaukee Bucks · 03/08

0vs Golden State Warriors · 03/10

2vs New York Knicks · 03/12

3vs Memphis Grizzlies · 10/22

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AI Pick for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans – NBA

The play is Keyonte George Under 3.5 rebounds at 1.87.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

Over his last 20 games he averages 2.6 rebounds, 0.9 below the line: the typical Keyonte George number is already on the pick's side.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2.7 rebounds, practically the same as the plain average; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.8 from the line.

Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 16 of his last 20 games.

At 1.87, break-even means hitting about 10.7 out of every 20; the sample clears that comfortably, and that gap is the pick's value.

The latest games don't change the picture: 3, 2, 0, 2 in the last 4, 4 of 4 on the pick's side, a similar rate to the full sample.

How stable is he? Game to game he strays about 1.64 from his average, and the line sits 0.6 of those deviations away: a player who can break the mould in either direction.

Today's setting counts too: at home, in the sample, he's at 2.45 per game over 11 games.

A direct precedent: against New Orleans Pelicans he put up 2 rebounds within the games analysed.

The rebounds Under depends on there being little to grab: shots that go in, a slow pace or minutes trimmed by a wide margin.

The model doesn't settle for a single number: it crosses the real Keyonte George frequency against this line with the bookmakers' consensus, and only publishes the pick when the available odds pay more than that count says.

A rule to keep in mind: without Keyonte George in the game, the bet is void.

The concrete risk: an inspired night from Keyonte George, with heavy minutes and a game that stays close to the end.

On price: the edge the AI flags is calculated at 1.87; below that it shrinks, above it grows.