Como vs Sassuolo Prediction & Pick (Oct 24)

How did the AI reach this prediction?

Como · in Serie A · 10 games1.80 · 0.80scored · conceded

Sassuolo · in Serie A · 10 games1.50 · 2.00scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match3.05

Como won 7, drew 2 and lost 1 of its last 10 games, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Sassuolo won 2, drew 2 and lost 6 of its last 10 games, with 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

Como's last 10 games · Serie A only

at +1.5, the pick would have landed in 7 of 10

11-0

vs Hellas Verona · 1-0 · 05/10

11-0

vs Parma · 1-0 · 05/17

44-1

vs Cremonese · 4-1 · 05/24

11-1

vs Udinese · 1-1 · 08/22

22-1

vs Napoli · 2-1 · 08/30

44-1

vs Genoa · 4-1 · 09/04

22-1

vs Parma · 2-1 · 09/14

00-2

vs Frosinone · 0-2 · 09/20

00-0

vs AS Roma · 0-0 · 10/11

33-1

vs Fiorentina · 3-1 · 10/18

Sassuolo's last 10 games · Serie A only

at +1.5, the pick would have landed in 9 of 10

11-2

vs Torino · 1-2 · 05/08

22-3

vs Lecce · 2-3 · 05/17

00-1

vs Parma · 0-1 · 05/24

11-2

vs Atalanta · 1-2 · 08/23

22-1

vs Torino · 2-1 · 08/29

22-2

vs Bologna · 2-2 · 09/06

33-2

vs Juventus · 3-2 · 09/13

11-2

vs Monza · 1-2 · 09/18

11-1

vs AC Milan · 1-1 · 10/11

22-4

vs Frosinone · 2-4 · 10/16

AI Pick for Como vs Sassuolo – Serie A

The AI goes with Sassuolo +1.5: it sees a 63% chance that Sassuolo cover the +1.5 line, and the 1.76 price only needs 57%.

The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 57%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.

The goals model projects 1.90 goals for Como and 1.15 for Sassuolo.

Sassuolo cover the +1.5 line as long as they do not lose by 2 or more goals; a win or a draw counts too.

In Serie A, Como average 1.80 goals for and 0.80 against (10 matches); Sassuolo, 1.50 and 2.00 (10).

It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.

And a tip: the 1.76 price is today’s; if it has moved when you bet, the edge the AI sees changes.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Como· with even performances

WWLDL

Sassuolo· with even performances

LDLWD

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

201

ComoSassuoloSA

In the last 3 meetings: 2 wins for Como, 0 draws and 1 for Sassuolo.

Sassuolo 2-1 Como2026-04-17
Como 2-0 Sassuolo2025-11-28
Como 3-0 Sassuolo2025-09-24

Absences and injuries

Como: T. Chalobah (Injury), A. Diao (Thigh Injury), J. Rodriguez (Injury), M. Kean (Leg Injury), M. Papaccioli (Injury).
Sassuolo: D. Boloca (Muscle Injury), J. Idzes (Muscle Injury), I. Kone (Broken Leg), F. Leysen (Knee Injury), Y. Paz (Knee Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

Squad value

Como~568 M €

Sassuolo~219 M €

According to Transfermarkt, the Como squad is worth ~568 M € and Sassuolo ~219 M €. Como start with a clear gap in quality.

What is a handicap?

A handicap gives a team a head start or a deficit before the game begins. With Sassuolo +1.5, the pick wins if Sassuolo win the game or lose by 1 or less.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.62 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.