🔮 Prediction for St. Louis Blues vs Florida Panthers with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is S. Jones Over 0.5 points. Over his last 12 games, Seth Jones went over the line of 0.5 points in 9 of 12, averaging 1.08 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 9 of 12 (75%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 3, with 3 blanks in those 12.

Seth Jones's last 12 games

9 of 12 over 0.5

0.5

1vs Seattle Kraken · 8-3 · 10/17

1vs Ottawa Senators · 1-5 · 10/21

0vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 0-4 · 10/22

1vs Chicago Blackhawks · 3-2 · 10/25

3vs Winnipeg Jets · 5-1 · 10/28

3vs Winnipeg Jets · 5-2 · 10/30

0vs Detroit Red Wings · 3-5 · 11/03

1vs Chicago Blackhawks · 5-3 · 11/05

1vs Washington Capitals · 3-4 · 11/07

0vs Boston Bruins · 1-4 · 11/08

1vs Columbus Blue Jackets · 4-1 · 11/11

1vs Detroit Red Wings · 5-4 · 11/13

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AI Pick for St. Louis Blues vs Florida Panthers – NHL

The pick is Seth Jones: Over 0.5 points at 1.95.

It's a bet on a player, not on the game: it doesn't matter who wins as long as Seth Jones finishes above that number.

Over his last 12 games he averages 1.08 points, 0.58 above the line: the typical Seth Jones number is already on the pick's side.

The model doesn't settle for the bare average: it gives recent games more weight and arrives at a projection of 1, lower than the plain average because his most recent games came in below it, 0.5 above the line.

Real frequency is the most honest number: in 9 of the last 12 games, Seth Jones finished on the pick's side.

For odds of 1.95 to pay off you need to hit about 6.2 out of every 12: the Seth Jones record sits comfortably above that.

His last 4 games (1, 1, 0, 1, newest first) leave 3 of 4 on the pick's side: no sharp change from the full sample.

Within the sample, Seth Jones averages 1 points in his 7 road games, which is how he plays today.

St. Louis Blues allow 2.6 goals per game over their last 10 (league average: 3.25); that ranks 27 of 32 among the teams that give up the most.

In the NHL a point is a goal or an assist: every involvement in one of his team's goals counts.

So the Over depends as much on him as on his line producing goals.

The AI doesn't bet on hunches: it takes the real Seth Jones series, checks it against what the market as a whole expects for this line, and only when the best available price sits above that estimate does it publish the pick.

A rule to keep in mind: without Seth Jones in the game, the bet is void.

The concrete risk: less ice time than expected, or an opponent that closes the gaps and lowers the volume for his whole team.

On price: the edge the AI flags is calculated at 1.95; below that it shrinks, above it grows.