🔮 Prediction for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is K. Johnson Over 0.5 points. Over his last 12 games, Kent Johnson went over the line of 0.5 points in 9 of 12, averaging 1.08 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 9 of 12 (75%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 3, with 3 blanks in those 12.

Kent Johnson's last 12 games

9 of 12 over 0.5

0.5

1vs New York Rangers · 1-0 · 10/17

0vs Minnesota Wild · 1-2 · 10/18

0vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 2-6 · 10/20

2vs Vegas Golden Knights · 2-1 · 10/24

3vs Philadelphia Flyers · 4-3 · 10/27

1vs Carolina Hurricanes · 2-3 · 10/29

1vs Dallas Stars · 1-3 · 11/01

1vs Colorado Avalanche · 7-2 · 11/04

1vs Dallas Stars · 2-1 · 11/06

2vs Buffalo Sabres · 2-5 · 11/07

0vs Florida Panthers · 1-4 · 11/11

1vs Tampa Bay Lightning · 1-3 · 11/13

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AI Pick for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers – NHL

The pick is Kent Johnson: Over 0.5 points at 1.80.

It's a bet on a player, not on the game: it doesn't matter who wins as long as Kent Johnson finishes above that number.

First fact: the line of 0.5 sits 0.58 below what Kent Johnson produces on average, 1.08 points per game over the last 12.

The model doesn't settle for the bare average: it gives recent games more weight and arrives at a projection of 1.1, practically the same as the plain average, 0.6 above the line.

Game by game against this line, 9 out of 12 would have cashed.

For odds of 1.80 to pay off you need to hit about 6.7 out of every 12: the Kent Johnson record sits comfortably above that.

In his last 4 games he posted 1, 0, 2, 1 (most recent first): 3 of 4 on the pick's side, in line with the 9 of 12 across the whole sample.

He plays at home today: in that setting, within the sample, he averages 0.86 over 7 games, a bit below his norm.

A direct precedent: against Philadelphia Flyers he put up 3 points within the games analysed.

The Philadelphia Flyers defense: 3.3 goals allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 3.25 (rank 19 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

In the NHL a point is a goal or an assist: every involvement in one of his team's goals counts.

So the Over depends as much on him as on his line producing goals.

Two sources sit behind the pick: what Kent Johnson actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.

When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.

A rules detail: if Kent Johnson doesn't play, the bet is voided.

What can go wrong: his coach cutting his minutes or moving him down the lineup, or a tight game in which his team barely shoots.

And a price tip: if the odds are below 1.80 when you bet, the edge the AI sees shrinks; if they're above, even better.