How the match ended
San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors met on November 13, 2026 in 🏀 NBA and the match ended 123 – 85.
The AI had called "Over 215.5 points" at odds 1.92, but this time the prediction didn't land. The play closed at -50 units. Every pick —hits and misses— stays in gambeta.ai's public record; what defines the AI is long-term ROI, not a single result.
Another pick for this match: V. Wembanyama Over 28.5 points
The pick is V. Wembanyama Over 28.5 points. Over his last 20 games, Victor Wembanyama went over the line of 28.5 points in 12 of 20, averaging 28.15 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 12 of 20 (60%).
Across the sample his range runs from 12 to 52.
Victor Wembanyama's last 20 games
Recent winning player props
How did the AI reach this prediction?
San Antonio Spurs · in NBA · 8 games120.5 · 107.1scored · conceded
Golden State Warriors · in NBA · 8 games120.4 · 106.9scored · concededSan Antonio Spurs averages 227.6 combined points (scored plus allowed) over its last 8 games, and 8 of them went over 215.5. Golden State Warriors averages 227.3 combined points (scored plus allowed) over its last 8 games, and 7 of them went over 215.5.
San Antonio Spurs's last 8 games
Golden State Warriors's last 8 games
Absences and doubts
- Tobias Harris Out 18.5 pts · 34 min
- De'Aaron Fox Doubtful 13.8 pts · 31 min
- Devin Vassell Doubtful 12.2 pts · 33 min
- Stephen Curry Out 25.5 pts · 28 min
- Jimmy Butler III Out 21.3 pts · 31 min
- Kristaps Porzingis Out 16.8 pts · 24 min
- Moses Moody Out 15.9 pts · 29 min
San Antonio Spurs are without Tobias Harris: the model takes 3.4 points off their margin for those absences. Golden State Warriors are without Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III: the model takes 11.0 points off their margin for those absences.
AI Pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors – NBA
The model projects San Antonio Spurs at 117.7 points and Golden State Warriors at 104.0: 221.7 in total, 6.2 away from the 215.5 line.
In the NBA the real total lands about 19 points away from the projected one on average: 6.2 is a reasonable margin.
The Over 215.5 needs both teams to combine for more than that, and overtime counts: every possession that ends in points helps.
San Antonio Spurs, last 8 games: 8-0, scoring 120.5 and allowing 107.1 per game.
Golden State Warriors, last 8 games: 7-1, scoring 120.4 and allowing 106.9 per game.
San Antonio Spurs: 8 of their last 8 games finished with more than 215.5 total points (average 227.6).
Golden State Warriors: 7 of their last 8 games finished with more than 215.5 total points (average 227.3).
San Antonio Spurs are without Tobias Harris: the model takes 3.4 points off their margin for those absences.
Golden State Warriors are without Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III: the model takes 11.0 points off their margin for those absences.
8 bookmakers quote the line and the AI compares it with their fair price: the value comes from that gap, not from guessing the winner.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.77 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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