🔮 Prediction for New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is M. Schaefer Over 0.5 points. Over his last 12 games, Matthew Schaefer went over the line of 0.5 points in 10 of 12, averaging 1.08 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 10 of 12 (83%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 3, with 2 blanks in those 12.

Matthew Schaefer's last 12 games

10 of 12 over 0.5

0.5

1vs Chicago Blackhawks · 4-1 · 10/08

1vs Tampa Bay Lightning · 3-5 · 10/10

2vs Vancouver Canucks · 3-2 · 10/13

0vs Ottawa Senators · 1-2 · 10/15

1vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 4-1 · 10/17

1vs Anaheim Ducks · 3-2 · 10/20

1vs Los Angeles Kings · 2-3 · 10/22

1vs Dallas Stars · 3-6 · 10/25

1vs Nashville Predators · 4-3 · 10/28

3vs Minnesota Wild · 4-3 · 10/30

0vs Edmonton Oilers · 0-4 · 10/31

1vs Carolina Hurricanes · 3-5 · 11/06

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AI Pick for New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils – NHL

The play is Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 points at 1.69.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

Matthew Schaefer has been averaging 1.08 points over 12 games, and the book set the line at 0.5: 0.58 below that average.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 1.1 points, practically the same as the plain average; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.6 from the line.

Game by game against this line, 10 out of 12 would have cashed.

For odds of 1.69 to pay off you need to hit about 7.1 out of every 12: the Matthew Schaefer record sits comfortably above that.

The latest games don't change the picture: 1, 0, 3, 1 in the last 4, 3 of 4 on the pick's side, a similar rate to the full sample.

He plays at home today: in that setting, within the sample, he averages 1 over 7 games.

The New Jersey Devils defense: 2.5 goals allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 3.24 (rank 29 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

An NHL point is his own goal or an assist on a teammate's.

The Over needs his team to score with him on the ice, and the power play is usually where those pile up.

The AI doesn't bet on hunches: it takes the real Matthew Schaefer series, checks it against what the market as a whole expects for this line, and only when the best available price sits above that estimate does it publish the pick.

A rules detail: if Matthew Schaefer doesn't play, the bet is voided.

What can go wrong: his coach cutting his minutes or moving him down the lineup, or a tight game in which his team barely shoots.

On price: the edge the AI flags is calculated at 1.69; below that it shrinks, above it grows.