🔮 Prediction for New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers with AI | NHL 🏒

Why this pick

The pick is S. Holmstrom Over 1.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, Simon Holmstrom went over the line of 1.5 shots on goal in 7 of 12, averaging 1.83 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 7 of 12 (58%).

Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 4, with 2 blanks in those 12.

Simon Holmstrom's last 12 games

7 of 12 over 1.5

1.5

1vs New Jersey Devils · 6-0 · 10/03

1vs New York Rangers · 2-5 · 10/06

0vs Chicago Blackhawks · 4-1 · 10/08

0vs Tampa Bay Lightning · 3-5 · 10/10

4vs Vancouver Canucks · 3-2 · 10/13

1vs Ottawa Senators · 1-2 · 10/15

2vs Toronto Maple Leafs · 4-1 · 10/17

3vs Anaheim Ducks · 3-2 · 10/20

3vs Los Angeles Kings · 2-3 · 10/22

2vs Dallas Stars · 3-6 · 10/25

3vs Nashville Predators · 4-3 · 10/28

2vs Minnesota Wild · 4-3 · 10/30

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AI Pick for New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers – NHL

The play is Simon Holmstrom Over 1.5 shots on goal at 1.78.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

Over his last 12 games he averages 1.83 shots on goal, 0.33 above the line: the typical Simon Holmstrom number is already on the pick's side.

The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2.2 shots on goal, higher than the plain average because his most recent games came in above it; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.7 from the line.

Had this bet been placed in each of his last 12 games, it would have won 7 times.

At 1.78, break-even means hitting about 6.7 out of every 12, and the sample is only just above it: the price is fair, not a gift, and the model fills in the rest with the bookmakers' consensus.

In his last 4 games he posted 2, 3, 2, 3 (most recent first): 4 of 4 on the pick's side, better than the 7 of 12 across the whole sample.

Within the sample, Simon Holmstrom averages 1.83 shots on goal in his 6 home games, which is how he plays today.

The Edmonton Oilers defense: 28.4 shots on goal allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 27.42 (rank 11 of 32, where 1 gives up the most).

In hockey, shots on goal are a question of minutes: the more time Simon Holmstrom spends on the ice, especially on the power play, the more chances he has to add up.

If his team has to chase the game, volume usually climbs.

The model doesn't settle for a single number: it crosses the real Simon Holmstrom frequency against this line with the bookmakers' consensus, and only publishes the pick when the available odds pay more than that count says.

A rule to keep in mind: without Simon Holmstrom in the game, the bet is void.

What can go wrong: his coach cutting his minutes or moving him down the lineup, or a tight game in which his team barely shoots.

One last practical note: 1.78 is the reference price; if you find it lower, the value fades, and if it's higher, the pick improves.