How did the AI reach this prediction?
New York City · in MLS · 10 games1.00 · 1.30scored · conceded
CF Montreal · in MLS · 10 games0.70 · 2.30scored · concededNew York City won 1, drew 5 and lost 4 of its last 10 games, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. CF Montreal won 1, drew 1 and lost 8 of its last 10 games, with 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
New York City's last 10 games · MLS only
CF Montreal's last 10 games · MLS only
AI Pick for New York City vs CF Montreal – MLS
The AI goes with Montreal +1.5: it sees a 66% chance that CF Montreal cover the +1.5 line, and the 1.65 price only needs 61%.
The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 60%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.
The goals model projects 1.65 goals for New York City and 1.00 for CF Montreal.
CF Montreal cover the +1.5 line as long as they do not lose by 2 or more goals; a win or a draw counts too.
In Major League Soccer, New York City average 1.00 goals for and 1.30 against (10 matches); CF Montreal, 0.70 and 2.30 (10).
It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.
And a tip: the 1.65 price is today’s; if it has moved when you bet, the edge the AI sees changes.
The AI study: the basis of the prediction
Recent form
New York City· with even performances
CF Montreal· inconsistent, with more losses than winsLast matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost
Head-to-head history (H2H)
New York CityCF MontrealCM
In the last 10 meetings: 5 wins for New York City, 1 draws and 4 for CF Montreal. Playing at home, New York City have a 3-0-1 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.
- CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC2026-04-25
- CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC2025-06-28
- New York City FC 0-1 CF Montreal2025-05-10
- CF Montreal 2-0 New York City FC2024-10-20
What is a handicap?
A handicap gives a team a head start or a deficit before the game begins. With Montreal +1.5, the pick wins if Montreal win the game or lose by 1 or less.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.52 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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