🔮 New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Pick (October 5, 2026)

Why this pick

The pick is J. Johnson Over 41.5 receiving yds. Over his last 9 games, Juwan Johnson went over the line of 41.5 receiving yds in 7 of 9, averaging 60.2 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 7 of 9 (78%).

The model blends that real frequency with the bookmakers' consensus and lands at 69%, against the 53% implied by the 1.88 price. That gap is the edge.

Across the sample his range runs from 30 to 95.

Juwan Johnson's last 9 games

7 of 9 over 41.5

41.5

46vs Atlanta Falcons · 10-24 · 11/23

39vs Miami Dolphins · 17-21 · 11/30

30vs Carolina Panthers · 20-17 · 12/14

89vs New York Jets · 29-6 · 12/21

95vs Tennessee Titans · 34-26 · 12/28

61vs Atlanta Falcons · 17-19 · 01/04

54vs Detroit Lions · 30-31 · 09/13

66vs Baltimore Ravens · 24-17 · 09/20

53vs Las Vegas Raiders · 27-35 · 09/27

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