Why this pick
The pick is A. Panarin Under 2.5 shots. Over his last 12 games, Artemi Panarin went over the line of 2.5 shots on goal in 2 of 12, averaging 1.67 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 10 of 12 (83%).
Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 4, with 2 blanks in those 12.
Artemi Panarin's last 12 games
vs Nashville Predators · 3-2 · 04/07
vs Vancouver Canucks · 4-1 · 04/10
vs Edmonton Oilers · 1-0 · 04/11
vs Seattle Kraken · 5-3 · 04/14
vs Vancouver Canucks · 3-4 · 04/15
vs Calgary Flames · 1-3 · 04/17
vs Colorado Avalanche · 1-2 · 04/19
vs Colorado Avalanche · 1-2 · 04/22
vs Colorado Avalanche · 2-4 · 04/24
vs Colorado Avalanche · 1-5 · 04/26
vs Colorado Avalanche · 4-8 · 10/01
vs San Jose Sharks · 4-5 · 10/04Recent winning player props
How did the AI reach this prediction?
The AI flagged this pick as Medium-High — decent conviction, with visible value against the odds.
The AI read
For this matchup the AI picked a prop: Artemi Panarin, Under 2.5 shots on goal, at 1.97.
The final score changes nothing; all that counts is what Artemi Panarin does.
First fact: the line of 2.5 sits 0.83 above what Artemi Panarin produces on average, 1.67 shots on goal per game over the last 12.
The model's projection, which weights recent games more, is 2 shots on goal, higher than the plain average because his most recent games came in above it; it also sits on the pick's side, 0.5 from the line.
Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 10 of his last 12 games.
For odds of 1.97 to pay off you need to hit about 6.1 out of every 12: the Artemi Panarin record sits comfortably above that.
In his last 4 games he posted 4, 2, 1, 0 (most recent first): 3 of 4 on the pick's side, in line with the 10 of 12 across the whole sample.
Today's setting counts too: at home, in the sample, he's at 1.6 per game over 5 games.
A shots Under wants a tight game with limited minutes for him; its risk is the power play, where shots pile up fast.
Two sources sit behind the pick: what Artemi Panarin actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.
When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.
A rule to keep in mind: without Artemi Panarin in the game, the bet is void.
The concrete risk: an end-to-end game with man advantages, where Artemi Panarin piles up minutes and chances.
And a price tip: if the odds are below 1.97 when you bet, the edge the AI sees shrinks; if they're above, even better.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.81 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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