🔮 Prediction for Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks with AI | NBA 🏀

Why this pick

The pick is P. Siakam Over 20.5 points. Over his last 20 games, Pascal Siakam went over the line of 20.5 points in 16 of 20, averaging 23.25 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 16 of 20 (80%).

Across the sample his range runs from 11 to 37.

Pascal Siakam's last 20 games

13 of 20 over 20.5

20.5

26vs Los Angeles Lakers · 03/07

22vs Portland Trail Blazers · 03/09

14vs San Antonio Spurs · 03/22

37vs Orlando Magic · 03/23

20vs Los Angeles Lakers · 03/25

11vs LA Clippers · 03/27

30vs Miami Heat · 03/29

25vs Chicago Bulls · 04/02

30vs Charlotte Hornets · 04/03

30vs New Orleans Pelicans · 10/22

23vs Dallas Mavericks · 10/23

21vs Brooklyn Nets · 10/25

20vs Milwaukee Bucks · 10/27

26vs Philadelphia 76ers · 10/28

13vs Miami Heat · 10/31

17vs Brooklyn Nets · 11/01

20vs Memphis Grizzlies · 11/05

23vs Denver Nuggets · 11/07

29vs Dallas Mavericks · 11/10

28vs Washington Wizards · 11/12

Recent winning player props

• New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies ✓ Won
• Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks ✓ Won
• Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks ✓ Won

AI Pick for Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks – NBA

The play is Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 points at 1.89.

This isn't a bet on a team but on one player's number, and that number has a track record.

First fact: the line of 20.5 sits 2.75 below what Pascal Siakam produces on average, 23.25 points per game over the last 20.

The model doesn't settle for the bare average: it gives recent games more weight and arrives at a projection of 24.3, practically the same as the plain average, 3.8 above the line.

Against this same line, the pick would have landed in 13 of his last 20 games.

For odds of 1.89 to pay off you need to hit about 10.6 out of every 20: the Pascal Siakam record sits comfortably above that.

In his last 4 games he posted 28, 29, 23, 20 (most recent first): 3 of 4 on the pick's side, in line with the 13 of 20 across the whole sample.

How stable is he? Game to game he strays about 6.56 from his average, and the line sits 0.4 of those deviations away: little room for surprises.

Within the sample, Pascal Siakam averages 22.25 points in his 8 home games, which is how he plays today.

The New York Knicks defense: 103.2 points allowed per game over 10 games, against a league average of 113.49 (rank 29 of 30, where 1 gives up the most).

For the points Over, volume rules: minutes on the floor, shots taken and trips to the free-throw line.

A fast pace and an opponent that defends poorly work in his favour.

Two sources sit behind the pick: what Pascal Siakam actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.

When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.

A rule to keep in mind: without Pascal Siakam in the game, the bet is void.