Another pick for this match: N. Marshall Over 3.5 assists
The pick is N. Marshall Over 3.5 assists. Over his last 20 games, Naji Marshall went over the line of 3.5 assists in 14 of 20, averaging 4.25 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 14 of 20 (70%).
Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 7, with 1 blanks in those 20.
Naji Marshall's last 20 games
Recent winning player props
How did the AI reach this prediction?
Dallas Mavericks · in NBA · 8 games112.1 · 112.3scored · conceded
Utah Jazz · in NBA · 8 games107.8 · 119.0scored · concededDallas Mavericks averages 224.4 combined points (scored plus allowed) over its last 8 games, and 3 of them went over 226. Utah Jazz averages 226.8 combined points (scored plus allowed) over its last 8 games, and 4 of them went over 226.
Dallas Mavericks's last 8 games
Utah Jazz's last 8 games
Absences and doubts
- Santi Aldama Out 14.5 pts · 29 min
- Jusuf Nurkic Out 14.5 pts · 29 min
- Jaren Jackson Jr. Out 20.7 pts · 29 min
Dallas Mavericks are without Santi Aldama: the model takes 1.7 points off their margin for those absences. Utah Jazz are without Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr.: the model takes 5.4 points off their margin for those absences.
AI Pick for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz – NBA
The model projects Dallas Mavericks at 120.0 points and Utah Jazz at 111.1: 231.0 in total, 5.0 away from the 226.0 line.
In the NBA the real total lands about 19 points away from the projected one on average: 5.0 is a reasonable margin.
The Over 226.0 needs both teams to combine for more than that, and overtime counts: every possession that ends in points helps.
Dallas Mavericks, last 8 games: 4-4, scoring 112.1 and allowing 112.3 per game.
Utah Jazz, last 8 games: 1-7, scoring 107.8 and allowing 119.0 per game.
Dallas Mavericks: 3 of their last 8 games finished with more than 226.0 total points (average 224.4).
Utah Jazz: 4 of their last 8 games finished with more than 226.0 total points (average 226.8).
3 bookmakers quote the line and the AI compares it with their fair price: the value comes from that gap, not from guessing the winner.
Dallas Mavericks are without Santi Aldama: the model takes 1.7 points off their margin for those absences.
Utah Jazz are without Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr.: the model takes 5.4 points off their margin for those absences.
And a tip: the 1.91 price is for the 226.0 total; if the total has moved when you bet, the edge the AI sees changes.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.76 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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