🔮 Prediction for Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks – NBA (October 28)

Why this pick

The pick is M. Buzelis Over 4.5 rebounds. Over his last 20 games, Matas Buzelis went over the line of 4.5 rebounds in 22 of 20, averaging 6.6 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 22 of 20 (110%).

Across the sample his range runs from 1 to 11.

Matas Buzelis's last 20 games

18 of 20 over 4.5

4.5

5vs Oklahoma City Thunder · 03/04

8vs Sacramento Kings · 03/09

6vs Golden State Warriors · 03/11

6vs Los Angeles Lakers · 03/13

11vs LA Clippers · 03/14

7vs Memphis Grizzlies · 03/17

7vs Toronto Raptors · 03/19

5vs Cleveland Cavaliers · 03/20

4vs Houston Rockets · 03/24

8vs Philadelphia 76ers · 03/25

9vs Oklahoma City Thunder · 03/28

10vs Memphis Grizzlies · 03/29

6vs San Antonio Spurs · 03/31

9vs Indiana Pacers · 04/02

6vs New York Knicks · 04/03

8vs Orlando Magic · 04/11

6vs Toronto Raptors · 10/21

5vs Milwaukee Bucks · 10/23

5vs Washington Wizards · 10/25

1vs Boston Celtics · 10/26

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AI Pick for Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks – NBA

Matas Buzelis Over 4.5 rebounds (Chicago Bulls), at 1.71.

The final score doesn't matter; what matters is the Matas Buzelis stat line when it's over.

Over his last 20 games he averages 6.6 rebounds, 2.1 above the line: the typical Matas Buzelis number is already on the pick's side.

The model doesn't settle for the bare average: it gives recent games more weight and arrives at a projection of 5.8, lower than the plain average because his most recent games came in below it, 1.3 above the line.

Had this bet been placed in each of his last 20 games, it would have won 18 times.

At 1.71, break-even means hitting about 11.7 out of every 20; the sample clears that comfortably, and that gap is the pick's value.

His last 4 games (1, 5, 5, 6, newest first) leave 3 of 4 on the pick's side: no sharp change from the full sample.

How stable is he? Game to game he strays about 2.28 from his average, and the line sits 0.9 of those deviations away: little room for surprises.

Today's setting counts too: at home, in the sample, he's at 6.25 per game over 8 games.

A direct precedent: against New York Knicks he put up 6 rebounds within the games analysed.

The New York Knicks defense: 44 rebounds allowed per game over 4 games, against a league average of 45.13 (rank 16 of 29, where 1 gives up the most).

For the rebounds Over it is enough for the game to have plenty of missed shots and for Matas Buzelis to stay on the floor.

If a big teammate is out, even more falls to him.

Two sources sit behind the pick: what Matas Buzelis actually did against this line and what the bookmakers think as a group.

When both agree and the odds overpay, the pick goes out.

If Matas Buzelis ends up not playing, the bet is voided: the risk of a late scratch isn't on the bettor.

What can go wrong: a blowout that sends the starters to the bench before the fourth quarter, an injury during the game or a cut in minutes.

On price: the edge the AI flags is calculated at 1.71; below that it shrinks, above it grows.