🔮 Prediction for Cagliari vs Frosinone with AI

How the match ended

Cagliari and Frosinone met on November 7, 2026 in 🇮🇹 Serie A and the match ended 1 – 0. Cagliari came out on top. 1 goals were scored between the two sides.

The AI had called "Frosinone win (draw no bet)" at odds 1.85, but this time the prediction didn't land. The play closed at -130 units. Every pick —hits and misses— stays in gambeta.ai's public record; what defines the AI is long-term ROI, not a single result.

How did the AI reach this prediction?

Cagliari · in Serie A · 10 games0.90 · 1.50scored · conceded

Frosinone · in Serie A · 10 games2.40 · 1.40scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match2.86

Cagliari won 4, drew 1 and lost 5 of its last 10 games, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Frosinone won 6, drew 2 and lost 2 of its last 10 games, with 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Cagliari's last 10 games · Serie A only

lost 5 of 10

11-0

vs Parma · 1-0 · 08/22

00-1

vs Inter · 0-1 · 08/30

11-0

vs Lecce · 1-0 · 09/07

22-1

vs Atalanta · 2-1 · 09/12

11-0

vs Udinese · 1-0 · 09/19

11-1

vs Juventus · 1-1 · 10/11

00-4

vs Monza · 0-4 · 10/19

00-2

vs Bologna · 0-2 · 10/24

22-4

vs AS Roma · 2-4 · 10/27

11-2

vs Lazio · 1-2 · 11/01

Frosinone's last 10 games · Serie A only

won 6 of 10

00-1

vs Juventus · 0-1 · 08/23

33-0

vs Fiorentina · 3-0 · 08/29

33-2

vs Venezia · 3-2 · 09/06

11-1

vs Genoa · 1-1 · 09/12

22-0

vs Como · 2-0 · 09/20

00-3

vs Napoli · 0-3 · 10/10

44-2

vs Sassuolo · 4-2 · 10/16

44-4

vs Atalanta · 4-4 · 10/25

55-1

vs Lecce · 5-1 · 10/29

22-0

vs Torino · 2-0 · 11/01

AI Pick for Cagliari vs Frosinone – Serie A

The AI goes with Frosinone win (draw no bet): it sees a 60% chance that Frosinone win once the draw is taken out, and the 1.85 price only needs 54%.

The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 54%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.

The goals model projects 1.15 goals for Cagliari and 1.71 for Frosinone.

If the match ends in a draw, the bet is void and the stake comes back; the model puts that draw at 24%.

In Serie A, Cagliari average 0.90 goals for and 1.50 against (10 matches); Frosinone, 2.40 and 1.40 (10).

It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Cagliari· in a rough patch

LLLLD

Frosinone· in good form

WWDWL

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

331

CagliariFrosinoneFR

In the last 7 meetings: 3 wins for Cagliari, 3 draws and 1 for Frosinone. Playing at home, Cagliari have a 3-1-0 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Cagliari 4-1 Frosinone2025-09-23
Frosinone 3-1 Cagliari2024-01-21
Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone2023-10-29
Cagliari 0-0 Frosinone2023-04-15

Absences and injuries

Cagliari: Riyad Idrissi (Jumpers Knee).
Frosinone: no relevant confirmed absences. Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

What does "Frosinone win (draw no bet)" mean?

A bet that Frosinone win the match. If it's a draw or a loss, the pick loses.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.70 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 130 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.