TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Pick (Oct 25)

How did the AI reach this prediction?

TSG Hoffenheim · in Bundesliga · 10 games1.70 · 2.20scored · conceded

Bayer Leverkusen · in Bundesliga · 10 games2.40 · 1.50scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match3.90

TSG Hoffenheim won 4, drew 1 and lost 5 of its last 10 games, with 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Bayer Leverkusen won 6, drew 2 and lost 2 of its last 10 games, with 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

TSG Hoffenheim's last 10 games · Bundesliga only

lost 5 of 10

22-1

vs Hamburger SV · 2-1 · 04/25

33-3

vs VfB Stuttgart · 3-3 · 05/02

11-0

vs Werder Bremen · 1-0 · 05/09

00-4

vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 0-4 · 05/16

22-3

vs 1. FC Köln · 2-3 · 08/29

22-3

vs Borussia Dortmund · 2-3 · 09/05

22-1

vs VfB Stuttgart · 2-1 · 09/12

11-3

vs SC Paderborn 07 · 1-3 · 09/20

22-3

vs Hamburger SV · 2-3 · 10/10

22-1

vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 2-1 · 10/18

Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 games · Bundesliga only

won 6 of 10

22-1

vs 1. FC Köln · 2-1 · 04/25

44-1

vs RB Leipzig · 4-1 · 05/02

11-3

vs VfB Stuttgart · 1-3 · 05/09

11-1

vs Hamburger SV · 1-1 · 05/16

22-3

vs SV Elversberg · 2-3 · 08/29

44-0

vs Union Berlin · 4-0 · 09/05

22-2

vs FC Augsburg · 2-2 · 09/12

22-0

vs RB Leipzig · 2-0 · 09/20

44-3

vs FSV Mainz 05 · 4-3 · 10/10

22-1

vs SC Freiburg · 2-1 · 10/18

AI Pick for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen – Bundesliga

The AI goes with Bayer Leverkusen win (draw no bet): it sees a 61% chance that Bayer Leverkusen win once the draw is taken out, and the 1.81 price only needs 55%.

The fair price from Pinnacle, with the bookmaker’s margin removed, is 55%: the benchmark the edge is measured against.

The goals model projects 1.60 goals for TSG Hoffenheim and 2.30 for Bayer Leverkusen.

If the match ends in a draw, the bet is void and the stake comes back; the model puts that draw at 20%.

In Bundesliga, TSG Hoffenheim average 1.70 goals for and 2.20 against (10 matches); Bayer Leverkusen, 2.40 and 1.50 (10).

It settles on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count.

And a tip: the 1.81 price is today’s; if it has moved when you bet, the edge the AI sees changes.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

TSG Hoffenheim· inconsistent, with more losses than wins

WWLLL

Bayer Leverkusen· in great form

WWWWW

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

316

TSG HoffenheimBayer LeverkusenBL

In the last 10 meetings: 3 wins for TSG Hoffenheim, 1 draws and 6 for Bayer Leverkusen. Playing at home, TSG Hoffenheim have a 1-0-4 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen2026-01-17
Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim2025-08-23
Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim2025-02-02
1899 Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen2024-09-14

Absences and injuries

TSG Hoffenheim: N. De Cat (Knee Injury), A. Hajdari (Foot Injury), P. Wimmer (Thigh Injury), B. Conte (Injury).
Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir (Muscle Injury), G. Doue (Calf Injury), K. Eichhorn (Illness), C. Kofane (Muscle Injury), M. Terrier (Muscle Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

What does "Bayer Leverkusen win (draw no bet)" mean?

A bet that Bayer Leverkusen win the match. If it's a draw or a loss, the pick loses.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.67 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 130 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.