Groningen vs Ajax Prediction & Pick (Oct 18)

How did the AI reach this prediction?

Groningen · in Eredivisie · 10 games2.20 · 1.70scored · conceded

Ajax · in Eredivisie · 10 games2.40 · 1.00scored · conceded

Projected goals for the match3.47

26%23%51%

Groningen win 3.69Draw 4.13Ajax win 1.89

Groningen won 5, drew 2 and lost 3 of its last 10 games, with 2.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Ajax won 5, drew 4 and lost 1 of its last 10 games, with 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Groningen's last 10 games · Eredivisie only

unbeaten in 7 of 10

22-1

vs Heracles · 2-1 · 05/17

00-2

vs Ajax · 0-2 · 05/21

22-1

vs Utrecht · 2-1 · 08/09

44-1

vs ADO Den Haag · 4-1 · 08/16

11-5

vs PSV Eindhoven · 1-5 · 08/23

22-3

vs Fortuna Sittard · 2-3 · 08/28

22-2

vs Twente · 2-2 · 09/06

11-1

vs GO Ahead Eagles · 1-1 · 09/12

33-0

vs PEC Zwolle · 3-0 · 09/18

55-1

vs Excelsior · 5-1 · 10/11

Ajax's last 10 games · Eredivisie only

failed to win in 5 of 10

22-0

vs Groningen · 2-0 · 05/21

00-0

vs Utrecht · 0-0 · 05/24

22-0

vs PEC Zwolle · 2-0 · 08/09

22-2

vs Heerenveen · 2-2 · 08/16

44-0

vs Telstar · 4-0 · 08/30

11-3

vs PSV Eindhoven · 1-3 · 09/05

55-1

vs Fortuna Sittard · 5-1 · 09/12

55-1

vs Willem II · 5-1 · 09/15

22-2

vs Excelsior · 2-2 · 09/19

11-1

vs NEC Nijmegen · 1-1 · 10/10

AI Pick for Groningen vs Ajax – Eredivisie

On paper, Ajax are better than Groningen and the odds say so (1.89). A pick reading Double Chance 1X deserves an explanation, and this is it.

The AI goes with Double Chance 1X because Ajax arrives without S.

Berghuis (forward), Caio Henrique (defender), S.

Berghuis (forward): absences from this week.

The pick is Double Chance 1X at 1.95, and the AI reads it as clearly better than what that price is paying.

The analysis belongs to Gambeta's AI predictions coverage of Eredivisie. No hunches: odds against model, picks published with their reasoning, and a win-loss history open to anyone. If you were after the Groningen vs Ajax prediction, this is the full version.

The AI study: the basis of the prediction

Recent form

Groningen· with even performances

WWDDL

Ajax· with even performances

LDDWW

Last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost

Head-to-head history (H2H)

118

GroningenAjaxAJ Ajax

In the last 10 meetings: 1 wins for Groningen, 1 draws and 8 for Ajax. Playing at home, Groningen have a 1-1-2 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.

Ajax 2-0 Groningen2026-05-21
Groningen 3-1 Ajax2026-03-07
Ajax 2-0 Groningen2025-12-02
Groningen 2-2 Ajax2025-05-14

Absences and injuries

Groningen: T. Hernes (Injury), M. Jeng (Leg Injury), T. Mercera (Injury), E. van der Laan (Injury).
Ajax: S. Berghuis (Injury), D. Blind (Back Injury), Caio Henrique (Thigh Injury), K. Dolberg (Knee Injury), A. Gaaei (Injury). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.

How to bet this pick

Minimum recommended odds: 1.79 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
Suggested stake: 130 units on your reference bankroll.
Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.

🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.