Detroit Lions face New York Jets on September 27, 2026 in nfl. Gambeta's AI processed the matchup data and built a quantitative prediction. Here is the pick and all the study behind it.
Why this pick
The pick is A. St. Brown Over 76.5 receiving yds. Over his last 8 games, Amon-Ra St. Brown went over the line of 76.5 receiving yds in 5 of 8, averaging 116.8 per game. Applied to this pick, it would have landed in 5 of 8 (63%).
The model blends that real frequency with the bookmakers' consensus and lands at 69%, against the 53% implied by the 1.87 price. That gap is the edge.
Across the sample his range runs from 0 to 164, with 1 blanks in those 8.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's last 8 games
| # | Date | Value | Over the line? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/18 | 142 | ✓ Yes |
| 2 | 01/04 | 139 | ✓ Yes |
| 3 | 12/25 | 68 | ✗ No |
| 4 | 12/21 | 54 | ✗ No |
| 5 | 12/14 | 164 | ✓ Yes |
| 6 | 12/05 | 92 | ✓ Yes |
| 7 | 11/27 | 0 | ✗ No |
| 8 | 11/23 | 149 | ✓ Yes |
Recent winning player props
- Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders ✓ Won
- Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints ✓ Won
- Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers ✓ Won
How did the AI reach this prediction?
The AI flagged this pick as Medium-High — decent conviction, with visible value against the odds.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.72 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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