Derby County face West Bromwich Albion on September 9, 2026 in futbol. Gambeta's AI processed the matchup data and built a quantitative prediction. Here is the pick and all the study behind it.
The AI read
The play is Over 2.5 at 2.10, flagged because the price sits below what this matchup deserves.
A pick does not reward the better team — it rewards the better payout.
Where does that total come from?
Derby County run at 1.00 goals a game while conceding 2.00; West Bromwich Al… score 1.60 and let in 1.20.
Attack crossed against defence gives 3.03 — the number belongs to the teams, not to the writer.
One mechanic specific to this market: the Over 2.5 is a bet on tempo, not on a winner — it does not matter who scores as long as the match clears 2.5 goals, and its worst enemy is the clock running with the score still closed.
Between them, history says: 10 recent meetings, 6 to Derby County, 3 drawn, 1 to West Bromwich Al….
Never a decider on its own, but it sketches whether this duel runs tight or one-sided.
On injuries, Derby County arrive with 12 absences against 2 for West Bromwich Al….
The AI study: the basis of the prediction
Recent form
Derby County arrive inconsistent, with more losses than wins LWLDL and West Bromwich Albion with even performances WDLLW (last matches, most recent on the left; W=won, D=drew, L=lost).
Head-to-head history (H2H)
In the last 10 meetings: 6 wins for Derby County, 3 draws and 1 for West Bromwich Albion. Playing at home, Derby County have a 4-2-0 record (W-D-L) in this fixture.
- Derby 1-1 West Brom (2026-01-23)
- West Brom 0-1 Derby (2025-09-13)
- West Brom 1-3 Derby (2025-04-21)
- Derby 2-1 West Brom (2024-12-26)
Absences and injuries
Derby County: P. Agyemang (Achilles Tendon Injury), C. Forsyth (Inactive), C. Morris (Inactive), D. Murkin (Hamstring Injury), L. Travis (Injury).
West Bromwich Albion: M. Johnston (Broken Leg), M. Johnston (Broken Leg). Missing starters tend to move the line and the model factors them in.
Squad value
According to Transfermarkt, the Derby County squad is worth ~71 M € and West Bromwich Albion ~58 M €. Squads of comparable value; an even match on paper.
How did the AI reach this prediction?
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Derby County win | 3.44 |
| Draw | 3.44 |
| West Bromwich Albion win | 2.07 |
What does "Over 2.5" mean?
A bet that more than 2.5 goals are scored between the two teams in this match.
How to bet this pick
- Minimum recommended odds: 1.93 — if the odds drop below that, the expected value fades.
- Suggested stake: 50 units on your reference bankroll.
- Before betting: bankroll management · value bet calculator.
🤖 This pick was generated by gambeta.ai's AI. The full record of every prediction (winners and losers) is public and updated live.
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